Incorporating Knowledge Building in Real Options Analysis of Technology Project Investment
نویسنده
چکیده
Real options theory has provided a useful framework for technology investment decision making. Researchers in this area have emphasized the importance of considering the option-like characteristics of IT investment projects. However, unlike financial options, investment in IT projects is typically irreversible: such investment cannot be recovered for other purposes without very costly rework. The objective of our work is to study the effects of knowledge building on the valuation of real options by using a continuous-time stochastic model. To our knowledge, this is the first model that formally builds a linkage between proactive learning and investment cost and examines the consequences of this linkage on the management of real options. Our main finding is that knowledge building can expedite the adoption of new technology and significantly enhance the value of technology options.
منابع مشابه
Combination of real options and game-theoretic approach in investment analysis
Investments in technology create a large amount of capital investments by major companies. Assessing such investment projects is identified as critical to the efficient assignment of resources. Viewing investment projects as real options, this paper expands a method for assessing technology investment decisions in the linkage existence of uncertainty and competition. It combines the game-theore...
متن کاملComputing optimal subsidies for Iranian renewable energy investments using real options
For the valuation of the renewable energy investments, providing private investors with a financial incentive to accelerate their investment is a very significant issue. Financial subsidies are known by the majority of the people to be one of the most important drivers in renewable energy expansion and one of the main reasons which result in the development of any industry. In this paper, we pr...
متن کاملValuing flexibility in demand-side response: A real options approach
The investment interests in the electricity industry are transmitted through various mechanisms to other economic activities. This paper considers methods for esteeming the adaptability of demand-side response (DSR) in its capacity to react to future uncertainties. The capacity to evaluate this adaptability is particularly critical for vitality frameworks speculations given their extensive and ...
متن کاملارائه روشی جهت تخمین پارامتر نوسان پذیری برای کاربرد در تئوری ارزش گذاری اختیارات واقعی(مطالعه موردی- پروژه های پارس جنوبی)
Traditional project evaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis which ignores the upside potentials to an investment from managerial flexibility and innovation is not a suitable approach for evaluating high risk projects such as projects in oil industry. Nowadays, real options valuation approach that borrows ideas from financial options attracts the expert's attentions. In spite of the ...
متن کاملCCS Investment Decision Based on Real Options
Based on the theory of real options, this paper establishes a investment decision-making model that could evaluate the development of CCS considering some uncertainties: feed-in tariff, the clean price, carbon price, incentives and subsidies from the government and the progress of technology. This model calculates the investment value of CCS project by studying the binomial tree model of real o...
متن کامل